Big-box demand struggles with limited supply

The proliferation of e-commerce spiked leasing velocity in 2016 and 2017 due to significant demand for big-box and mega-box spaces.
Limited supply of big-box space across the state has stalled leasing velocity for YTD 2018.
There are only five (5) availabilities in excess of 500,000 square feet in the state.
Tenants have expanded the geographic scope of requirements into Southern New Jersey and Lehigh Valley to accommodate immediate needs.

Transit hubs – full speed ahead

Transit hub markets continue to report lower vacancy rates and higher rental rates compared to the suburban New Jersey office market. Green signals expected to return as companies pursue office space in proximity to walkable amenity-rich areas with access to mass-transit.

Big box space conundrum

At mid-2Q 2018 only three Class A industrial buildings larger than 500,000 square feet were available for lease throughout New Jersey. The shortage of space caused leasing to slow down at the start of the year without any big-box leases signed in first five months of 2018. On a positive note, five buildings greater than 500,000 square feet are set to break ground in 2018.

Vintage office inventory poised for upgrades

In early 2018, throughout the Northern and Central New Jersey office market, nearly 38.0 million square feet of direct and sublet space was marketed for lease. Buildings constructed since 2010 comprised less than 1.0 percent of the available space, as office occupiers gravitated towards newer product. An empty construction pipeline will challenge tenants seeking modern work environments prompting owners of vintage inventory to invest in improvements and upgrades that fulfill tenant requirements.

Retailer demand moves toward record-breaking absorption in 2018

Changes in consumption patterns continue to shift retailer demand away from brick-and-mortar storefronts to industrial facilities with immediate access to large swaths of the U.S. population. In 2017, traditional and e-commerce retailer requirements exceeding 200,000 square feet totaled 7.8 million, representing a 120 percent increase over the 2016 total of 3.6 million.

Class A subleases poised to fulfill demand

A steady supply of office sublease space entered the market as a result of consolidations and relocations during the past year. By year-end 2017, more than 5 million square feet was marketed for sublease compared to 4 million square feet at year-end 2016.

Demand for large blocks of space accelerates

At the close of 2017, 12 separate 750,000-square-foot tenant requirements were active in New Jersey. Over the past two years, 21 leases in excess of 500,000 square feet closed, with traditional and e-commerce retailers remaining the biggest contributors to big-box leasing activity.

Trend Watch Jan. 24: IT sector fuels office demand

The IT sector surpassed the financial services and pharmaceutical/life sciences segments as a driver of growth for the New Jersey economy and the commercial real estate market.

Trend Watch Dec. 11: Strong pre-leasing drives construction across the industrial sector

Pre-leasing rates of 89.3 percent on 2017 deliveries prompt developers to put shovels in the ground at record levels. 2 million square feet forecast for delivery in 2018 surpasses anything seen this cycle.

Trend Watch Dec. 4: New office buildings boast 12% vacancy rate

The year of construction for buildings has significant impact on reported vacancy rate. Buildings completed since 2010 maintained the lowest vacancy rates, as office occupiers prefer new product. Demand for new construction will drive the demolition/rehabilitation of older, vacant office buildings, especially in strategically located markets lacking sites for new construction.